The first statewide returns in Washington show an anti-trans ballot measure leading by about 13 percent, or roughly 250,000 votes. The measure would require girls to confirm their sex assigned at birth with a medical professional.

That opening lead does not settle the outcome. In Washington, early returns can move as additional ballots are counted over the following days, and the first release is only a partial picture of the electorate.

The measure is already drawing expectations of a court fight, with opponents arguing that it raises privacy concerns and could face legal challenges if it passes. Critics also argue that its effects would reach beyond trans students alone, touching broader questions about how girls' bodies are scrutinized in schools and sports.

For now, the only firm takeaway is that the measure started the count in a stronger position than opponents wanted to see. Further updates from the state will show whether that margin holds or narrows as the ballot count continues.